VCF renewals ▲ 31.4% YoY· Symantec EDR true ups ▲ 18%· Carbon Black avg quote uplift +22%· Mainframe MIPS capacity squeezes ▲· Audit notices ▲ 47% QoQ· Our last 10 deals avg −41% on quote· VCF renewals ▲ 31.4% YoY· Symantec EDR true ups ▲ 18%· Carbon Black avg quote uplift +22%· Mainframe MIPS capacity squeezes ▲· Audit notices ▲ 47% QoQ· Our last 10 deals avg −41% on quote
Wednesday · 27 May · MMXXVIIssue II
Independent · Buyer SideLive
MIPS Capacity
MIPS · Sub capacity reporting · Growth allowance · Capacity definition The capacity unit on the contract no longer matches the unit on the deployment. Not affiliated with Broadcom Inc.
The Lead · Product Brief · MIPS Capacity

The capacity unit on the contract is not the unit on the deployment.

Two live MIPS capacity engagements this quarter. Average reduction 47 percent. The renewal quote priced against a definition the paper has carried unchanged through three cycles.

MIPS capacity contracts are the largest single line item most enterprises carry on their software estate, and the definitions on the paper were written for a generation of z systems that no longer matches how capacity is actually provisioned. The renewal quote arrives priced against the old chunk model. The deployment runs on the new sub capacity model. The gap between the two is where most of the negotiation envelope lives.

The desk treats every MIPS renewal as a reconciliation problem before it is a pricing problem. Three things have to line up before the quote can be honestly evaluated. The capacity definition in the contract. The sub capacity reporting from the current deployment. The growth allowance clause that decides what happens when actual usage diverges from the contracted ceiling. Only after those three are reconciled does the renewal envelope become legible.

"We were paying twice for capacity in two different units, because nobody had renegotiated the cross product definition in three cycles. The reconciliation moved eighteen million dollars onto the right line."Director Platform · Asia Pacific bank

The seller's renewal team is not trying to overcharge. The seller's renewal team is pricing against the paper. The paper is what the buyer signed. The buyer signed paper that has not been refreshed in three capacity reporting cycles. The opening quote follows mechanically. The negotiation begins with the buyer rebuilding the capacity map from scratch and presenting it back, with a request to reprice on the actual current unit rather than the inherited contractual one.

Growth allowance is the second front. The clause typically reads as a ceiling expressed in MIPS, with overage priced at full list. When the deployment grows through normal business expansion, the overage line reprices everything. The desk negotiates a band, a phased uplift, or a soft ceiling with a true up cycle that the buyer can model. Each of those changes the renewal economics by a different amount, and the right pick depends on the buyer's actual capacity trajectory, not the seller's standard template.

§ 02

Outcomes on MIPS capacity

Verified · Net of fees · Signed contract delta
Typical reduction
47%
Average across trailing MIPS capacity renewals and restructures.
▲ range 40 to 58%
Largest delta
$18M
Three year savings on an Asia Pacific bank capacity renegotiation.
▲ Q3 2025 case
Sub capacity reconciliations
11+
Full deployment to contract reconstructions in trailing twelve months.
▲ practice cumulative
Renewals delivered
9+
MIPS capacity contracts closed under desk representation.
▲ Q2 cumulative
§ 04

What we negotiate

MIPS capacity · The clauses that decide the line
#Contract elementWhat we changeTypical liftDifficulty
01
Capacity definition
The MIPS unit the contract carries against the unit the deployment actually uses.
Reconciliation is the negotiation. Without it the quote is illegible.
−18 to −34%High
02
Sub capacity reporting
Reconstruction of actual deployment against the contractual sub capacity ceiling.
The reconstruction often shows the buyer paying for capacity twice.
−12 to −28%High
03
Growth allowance clause
The ceiling, overage and true up logic that decides how growth gets priced.
Bands, phased uplifts and soft ceilings change the renewal economics.
−10 to −22%Medium
04
Term and signature posture
Multi year term against the capacity trajectory and the audit cycle.
The right term length depends on the buyer's growth, not the seller's template.
−6 to −14%Low
§ 05

Field notes · MIPS Capacity

Quarterly intelligence from live mainframe desks
Mainframe · CalendarQ2 · 9 min read

The mainframe MIPS capacity squeeze nobody saw coming

Three cycles of sub capacity reporting changes have left most enterprises paying for capacity on definitions their contracts do not actually carry. Here is what is happening across the installed base in 2026, and what to do about it before the next renewal.

Read essay →
Mainframe · LeverQ2 · 10 min read

The IPLA versus MSU decision that changes your mainframe contract

The choice between IPLA based and MSU based pricing on a given product line decides the negotiation envelope for the whole renewal. Here is the desk's framework for which lever to pull on which product, and what each path costs.

Read essay →
Mainframe · PositionQ2 · 10 min read

Why the 2022 mainframe playbook no longer protects you

The negotiation playbook that worked on mainframe renewals between 2018 and 2022 was built around capacity definitions that have since shifted. Here is what has changed and what works in 2026.

Read essay →
Adjacent product · IPLA, MSU and ESP desk →   CA Technologies desk →
Correspondence Invited

Write before the quote becomes a position.

Two analyst calls. No pitch. We tell you what we would do, what the leverage actually is, and whether we are the right firm. If we are not, we will say so.
Who we work for. Buyer side only. No reseller relationship with Broadcom. No partnership of any kind. We do not earn anything from products sold or renewed. Only from outcomes delivered against the contract.